Event odds table

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? — live odds
5 outcomes$312K traded$394 · 24hresolves by September 30, 2026
Live Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? odds: not return to normal in 2026 leads the field at 73% implied probability. All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $312K traded ($394 in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by September 30, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
not return to normal in 2026 73%
implied probability (73¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5
1not return to normal in 2026
73%73¢ · $394 24h2return to normal in September
—— · — 24h3return to normal in December
—— · — 24h4return to normal in October
—— · — 24h5return to normal in November
—— · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal??
- The market currently favors not return to normal in 2026 at 73% implied probability (YES trading at 73¢).
- How much has been traded on Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal??
- $312K has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $394 of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by September 30, 2026.