Which outcome is favored for Which party will win the Senate in 2026??

The market currently favors Democratic at 65% implied probability (YES trading at 65¢).

How much has been traded on Which party will win the Senate in 2026??

$6.7M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $184K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 4, 2026.

Event odds table

Which party will win the Senate in 2026? — live odds

2 outcomes$6.7M traded$184K · 24hresolves by November 4, 2026

Live Which party will win the Senate in 2026? odds: Democratic leads the field at 65% implied probability, ahead of Republican (38%). All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $6.7M traded ($184K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 4, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Democratic 65%

implied probability (65¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2

Full market details →

1Democratic

65%65¢ · $130K 24h 2Republican

38%38¢ · $54K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Which party will win the Senate in 2026??: The market currently favors Democratic at 65% implied probability (YES trading at 65¢).
How much has been traded on Which party will win the Senate in 2026??: $6.7M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $184K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 4, 2026.

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