Which outcome is favored for Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31??

The market currently favors Steve Witkoff at 42% implied probability (YES trading at 42¢).

How much has been traded on Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31??

$1.5M has been traded across 23 outcome markets, $49K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.

Event odds table

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31? — live odds

23 outcomes$1.5M traded$49K · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026

Live Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31? odds: Steve Witkoff leads the field at 42% implied probability, ahead of Jared Kushner (42%) and Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani (39%). All 23 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.5M traded ($49K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Steve Witkoff 42%

implied probability (42¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 23

Full market details →

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31??: The market currently favors Steve Witkoff at 42% implied probability (YES trading at 42¢).
How much has been traded on Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31??: $1.5M has been traded across 23 outcome markets, $49K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.

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