Event odds table
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal? — live odds
7 outcomes$233K traded$18K · 24hresolves by July 30, 2026
1Aleksandr Logunov
50%50¢ · $483 24h2Alexander Efimov
9%9¢ · $639 24h3Sam Raskin
6%6¢ · $979 24h4Will Sawin
5%5¢ · $722 24h5Jack Thorne
0%0¢ · $13K 24h6Julian Sahasrabudhe
0%0¢ · $1K 24h7Vesselin Dimitrov
—— · $342 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal??
- The market currently favors "Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal?" at 50% implied probability (YES trading at 50¢).
- How much has been traded on Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal??
- $233K has been traded across 7 outcome markets, $18K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by July 30, 2026.
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