Event odds table
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms? — live odds
Live Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms? odds: Will there be no Hormuz agreement? leads the field at 94% implied probability, ahead of Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? (5%) and Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? (1%). All 3 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.6M traded ($77K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 4, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? 94%
implied probability (94¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 3
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms??
- The market currently favors Will there be no Hormuz agreement? at 94% implied probability (YES trading at 94¢).
- How much has been traded on Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms??
- $1.6M has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $77K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 4, 2026.
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