Event odds table

Will Iran target a Arab country on...? — live odds
13 outcomes$62K traded$11K · 24hresolves by August 20, 2026
Live Will Iran target a Arab country on...? odds: 25 leads the field at 25% implied probability, ahead of 29 (16%) and 26 (15%). All 13 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $62K traded ($11K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by August 20, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
25 25%
implied probability (25¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 13
125
25%25¢ · $719 24h229
16%16¢ · $555 24h326
15%15¢ · $398 24h428
—— · $1K 24h531
—— · $846 24h620
—— · $904 24h730
—— · $271 24h821
—— · $1K 24h927
—— · $935 24h1024
—— · $810 24h1123
—— · $1K 24h1219
—— · $2K 24h1322
—— · $443 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Will Iran target a Arab country on...??
- The market currently favors 25 at 25% implied probability (YES trading at 25¢).
- How much has been traded on Will Iran target a Arab country on...??
- $62K has been traded across 13 outcome markets, $11K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 20, 2026.