Which outcome is favored for Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...??

The market currently favors September 30 at 3% implied probability (YES trading at 3¢).

How much has been traded on Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...??

$1.4M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $684 of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

Event odds table

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...? — live odds

2 outcomes$1.4M traded$684 · 24hresolves by October 1, 2026

Live Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...? odds: September 30 leads the field at 3% implied probability. All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.4M traded ($684 in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

September 30 3%

implied probability (3¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2

Full market details →

1September 30

3%3¢ · $684 24h 2December 31

—— · — 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...??: The market currently favors September 30 at 3% implied probability (YES trading at 3¢).
How much has been traded on Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...??: $1.4M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $684 of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.

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