Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 24? live odds

99%

implied probability

YES 99¢NO

recent price

0¢ over the window

24h change

$59K

24h volume

$74K

total volume

Jul 24, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±31.6¢ swing band

    38m ago
  • Volume spike

    $5,000 traded — 63.2× the average

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±11.5¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    93¢ → 2¢ (-91.1¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±14.6¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • Odds swing

    95¢ → 0¢ (-94.4¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±18¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • Odds swing

    51¢ → 64¢ (+12.9¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±20.1¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • Odds swing

    95¢ → 50¢ (-44.6¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 24?"?

The market currently prices YES at 99¢ and NO at 1¢, an implied probability of 99% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by July 24, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$74K has been traded in total, $59K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app

From the blog

Related Crypto markets