Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 21? — final odds

Resolved YES · July 21, 2026Final price 99¢ YES — the market gave this a 99% implied probability.

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99%

implied probability

YES 99¢NO 1¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

$296K

24h volume

$330K

total volume

Jul 21, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Volume spike
$8,257 traded — 70.4× the average
32m ago
Volume spike
$5,859 traded — 50× the average
41m ago
Volume spike
$1,000 traded — 8.5× the average
56m ago
High volatility
±19.4¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
96¢ → 33¢ (-63.3¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
Volume spike
$3,817 traded — 32.6× the average
1h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 55¢ (-44.8¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 90¢ (-10.1¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
Volume spike
$526 traded — 6.8× the average
2h ago
Odds swing
63¢ → 97¢ (+33.8¢ in 15 min)
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 21?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on July 21, 2026. Its final traded price was 99¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 99¢ — an implied probability of 99%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.