Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 12? — final odds

Resolved YES · July 12, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

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100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

+99¢ over the window

+99¢

24h change

$11K

24h volume

$67K

total volume

Jul 12, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.001¢ normal
9d ago
High volatility
±24.8¢ swing band
9d ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 95¢ (+94.8¢ in 15 min)
9d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 10¢ (+9.1¢ in 15 min)
9d ago
High volatility
±72.5¢ swing band
9d ago
Odds swing
10¢ → 100¢ (+89.9¢ in 15 min)
9d ago
High volatility
±23.6¢ swing band
9d ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 69¢ (+66.8¢ in 15 min)
9d ago
High volatility
±16.1¢ swing band
9d ago
High volatility
±24.7¢ swing band
9d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 12?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on July 12, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.