
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance — final odds
"France vs. Spain: Team to Advance" resolved on July 14, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $43.8M in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
0%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$36.6M
24h volume
$43.8M
total volume
Jul 14, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 52d ago
smart money move
- 53d ago
smart money move
- 53d ago
smart money move
- 53d ago
smart money move
- 53d ago
smart money move
- 53d ago
smart money move
- 53d ago
smart money move
- 53d ago
smart money move
- 54d ago
smart money move
- 54d ago
smart money move
How this market resolves
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Spain, scheduled for July 14 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed or a team is officially declared to advance. If the game is canceled entirely and no team advances from this match, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Quick answers
How did "France vs. Spain: Team to Advance" resolve?
This market ended on July 14, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$43.8M was traded over the market's lifetime.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app
From the blog
- Polymarket Daily Radar — Jul 14: Crypto & Political Shifts
- Polymarket Daily Radar — Jul 13: Sanders Nomination Bets
Related Sports markets
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
0%