
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance — final odds
56%
implied probability
recent price
-3¢ over the window
-3¢
24h change
$36.6M
24h volume
$43.8M
total volume
Jul 14, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 7d ago
smart money move
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smart money move
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smart money move
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smart money move
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smart money move
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smart money move
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smart money move
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smart money move
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smart money move
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smart money move
How this market resolves
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Spain, scheduled for July 14 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoot-out, or an official ruling by the competition organizer such as forfeit, abandonment, or disqualification. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed or a team is officially declared to advance. If the game is canceled entirely and no team advances from this match, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Quick answers
How did "France vs. Spain: Team to Advance" resolve?
This market ended on July 14, 2026 with a final traded price of 56¢ YES (56% implied probability).
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 56¢ — an implied probability of 56%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$43.8M was traded over the market's lifetime.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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