Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — live odds
40%
implied probability
recent price
+1¢ over the window
+1¢
24h change
$287K
24h volume
$1.9M
total volume
Oct 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?
The market currently prices YES at 40¢ and NO at 60¢, an implied probability of 40% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$1.9M has been traded in total, $287K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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