
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner — live odds
"LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner" is trading at a 26% implied probability, with YES at 26¢ and NO at 75¢. $701K has changed hands so far, $704K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 16, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.
26%
implied probability
recent price
-18¢ over the window
-18¢
24h change
$704K
24h volume
$701K
total volume
Oct 16, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between Cloud9 and Karmine Corp in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win Game 4 against Karmine Corp. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 4 against Cloud9. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner"?
The market currently prices YES at 26¢ and NO at 75¢, an implied probability of 26% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by October 16, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://gol.gg/esports/home.
How much has been traded on this market?
$701K has been traded in total, $704K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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