Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5) — final odds

Resolved YES · October 18, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)" resolved YES on October 18, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $24K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

—

24h change

$24K

24h volume

$24K

total volume

Oct 18, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±28.6¢ swing band

    45m ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 1¢ (-99.4¢ in 15 min)

    45m ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.7¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 1¢ (-98.9¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±41.1¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.2¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    97¢ → 87¢ (-10¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.5¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±21.2¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • Odds swing

    82¢ → 98¢ (+16¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
How this market resolves

This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Final match between MVK Esports and FURIA Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports wins 3 or more games than MVK Esports in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MVK Esports". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Quick answers

How did "Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)" resolve?

This market resolved YES on October 18, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$24K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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