
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? — live odds
1%
implied probability
recent price
-97¢ over the window
-97¢
24h change
$20
24h volume
$42K
total volume
Jan 1, 2027
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 11m ago
High volatility
±24.7¢ swing band
- 11m ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 12¢ (-86¢ in 15 min)
- 28m ago
High volatility
±24.7¢ swing band
- 28m ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 12¢ (-86¢ in 15 min)
- 52m ago
High volatility
±27.9¢ swing band
- 52m ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 1¢ (-97¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±39.1¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 1¢ (-97¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±49.9¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 1¢ (-97¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?"?
The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on this market?
$42K has been traded in total, $20 of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
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