Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? — live odds

Part of Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?· see all 8 outcomes →📲 Open in app

94%

implied probability

YES 94¢NO 6¢

recent price

-6¢ over the window

-6¢

24h change

$306

24h volume

$319K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±8.9¢ swing band
56m ago
Odds swing
94¢ → 69¢ (-25¢ in 15 min)
56m ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 94¢ (+92¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±8.3¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 89¢ (-10.5¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±9.8¢ swing band
3h ago
High volatility
±7.9¢ swing band
3h ago
High volatility
±10.5¢ swing band
4h ago
High volatility
±12.8¢ swing band
5h ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 100¢ (+99.3¢ in 15 min)
5h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".