
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? — live odds
0%
implied probability
recent price
-79¢ over the window
-79¢
24h change
$576
24h volume
$365K
total volume
Jul 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 2d ago
High volatility
±25.8¢ swing band
- 2d ago
Odds swing
70¢ → 90¢ (+20¢ in 15 min)
- 2d ago
High volatility
±30.7¢ swing band
- 2d ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 80¢ (+79.6¢ in 15 min)
- 2d ago
High volatility
±23.4¢ swing band
- 2d ago
Odds swing
90¢ → 0¢ (-89.6¢ in 15 min)
- 2d ago
High volatility
±28.2¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an “episode” must be listed as a distinct episode of Stranger Things on Netflix and be playable for general subscribers in the United States. A behind-the-scenes featurette, documentary, trailer, recap, cast interview, deleted scenes compilation, or other bonus content will not count unless it is clearly presented by Netflix as an official numbered or titled episode of the series. If Netflix releases an alternate cut, extended cut, or “secret” version of an already-released episode, it will not count unless it is listed as a separate episode entry on Netflix. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Stranger Things title page on Netflix (episode list and availability), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? "?
The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by July 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$365K has been traded in total, $576 of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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