Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? — live odds

"Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $66.6M has changed hands so far, $12K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this culture market in real time.

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$12K

24h volume

$66.6M

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±28.9¢ swing band
5m ago
High volatility
±15.8¢ swing band
21m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 1¢ (-98.8¢ in 15 min)
23m ago
High volatility
±8.9¢ swing band
36m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 1¢ (-99.4¢ in 15 min)
39m ago
High volatility
±28.7¢ swing band
52m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 69¢ (-30.9¢ in 15 min)
55m ago
High volatility
±28.4¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±28.6¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 70¢ (+68.5¢ in 15 min)
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.