
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? — live odds
100%
implied probability
recent price
+22¢ over the window
+22¢
24h change
$26K
24h volume
$2.1M
total volume
Dec 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 13m ago
High volatility
±20.8¢ swing band
- 13m ago
Odds swing
77¢ → 6¢ (-71.5¢ in 15 min)
- 28m ago
High volatility
±5.5¢ swing band
- 28m ago
Odds swing
70¢ → 96¢ (+26¢ in 15 min)
- 43m ago
High volatility
±27.3¢ swing band
- 43m ago
Odds swing
50¢ → 97¢ (+47¢ in 15 min)
- 58m ago
High volatility
±22.1¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 6¢ (-93.9¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±31¢ swing band
- 2h ago
High volatility
±20.9¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?"?
The market currently prices YES at 100¢ and NO at 0¢, an implied probability of 100% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$2.1M has been traded in total, $26K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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