Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? — live odds

Part of Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?· see all 8 outcomes →📲 Open in app

implied probability

YES 2¢NO 98¢

recent price

-5¢ over the window

-5¢

24h change

$295

24h volume

$799K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±47.9¢ swing band
11m ago
High volatility
±33.3¢ swing band
26m ago
Odds swing
94¢ → 0¢ (-93.9¢ in 15 min)
26m ago
High volatility
±33.1¢ swing band
41m ago
High volatility
±24.5¢ swing band
56m ago
Odds swing
93¢ → 60¢ (-33¢ in 15 min)
56m ago
High volatility
±51.3¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
16¢ → 0¢ (-15.7¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±22.5¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±14.1¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".