Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? live odds

31%

implied probability

YES 31¢NO 69¢

recent price

+24¢ over the window

+24¢

24h change

$6K

24h volume

$496K

total volume

Jan 1, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Odds swing

    1¢ → 17¢ (+16.2¢ in 15 min)

    9m ago
  • High volatility

    ±25.2¢ swing band

    24m ago
  • Odds swing

    16¢ → 100¢ (+83.6¢ in 15 min)

    24m ago
  • Odds swing

    37¢ → 15¢ (-22¢ in 15 min)

    39m ago
  • High volatility

    ±14.8¢ swing band

    55m ago
  • Odds swing

    32¢ → 0¢ (-31.7¢ in 15 min)

    55m ago
  • High volatility

    ±7.4¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    15¢ → 33¢ (+18.2¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±24.6¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±13¢ swing band

    2h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?"?

The market currently prices YES at 31¢ and NO at 69¢, an implied probability of 31% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028.

How much has been traded on this market?

$496K has been traded in total, $6K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

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