
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? — live odds
31%
implied probability
recent price
+24¢ over the window
+24¢
24h change
$6K
24h volume
$496K
total volume
Jan 1, 2028
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 9m ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 17¢ (+16.2¢ in 15 min)
- 24m ago
High volatility
±25.2¢ swing band
- 24m ago
Odds swing
16¢ → 100¢ (+83.6¢ in 15 min)
- 39m ago
Odds swing
37¢ → 15¢ (-22¢ in 15 min)
- 55m ago
High volatility
±14.8¢ swing band
- 55m ago
Odds swing
32¢ → 0¢ (-31.7¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±7.4¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
15¢ → 33¢ (+18.2¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±24.6¢ swing band
- 2h ago
High volatility
±13¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?"?
The market currently prices YES at 31¢ and NO at 69¢, an implied probability of 31% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028.
How much has been traded on this market?
$496K has been traded in total, $6K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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