Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? — live odds

Part of What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?· see all 22 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?" is trading at a 4% implied probability, with YES at 4¢ and NO at 96¢. $1.6M has changed hands so far, $116 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

implied probability

YES 4¢NO 96¢

recent price

-55¢ over the window

-55¢

24h change

$116

24h volume

$1.6M

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±18.6¢ swing band
50m ago
High volatility
±16.9¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 63¢ (+62.1¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±18.1¢ swing band
5h ago
Odds swing
4¢ → 63¢ (+58.8¢ in 15 min)
5h ago
High volatility
±11.7¢ swing band
6h ago
Odds swing
18¢ → 8¢ (-10.3¢ in 15 min)
6h ago
High volatility
±11.3¢ swing band
11h ago
High volatility
±21.3¢ swing band
12h ago
Odds swing
7¢ → 99¢ (+91.7¢ in 15 min)
12h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.