UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card) — final odds

This market has ended · August 30, 2026Final price — YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)" resolved on August 30, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $980K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

0%

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$748K

24h volume

$980K

total volume

Aug 30, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±31.3¢ swing band

    46d ago
  • Odds swing

    13¢ → 24¢ (+10.5¢ in 15 min)

    46d ago
  • Volume spike

    $649 traded — 3.3× the average

    46d ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.7¢ swing band

    46d ago
  • High volatility

    ±5¢ swing band

    46d ago
  • Volume spike

    $627 traded — 3.2× the average

    46d ago
  • High volatility

    ±34.9¢ swing band

    46d ago
  • Volume spike

    $882 traded — 4.4× the average

    46d ago
  • conviction signal

    46d ago
  • High volatility

    ±45.4¢ swing band

    46d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Song Yadong" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Quick answers

How did "UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)" resolve?

This market ended on August 30, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$980K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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