UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card) — live odds

"UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)" is trading at a 18% implied probability, with YES at 18¢ and NO at 82¢. $119K has changed hands so far, $65K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 30, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.

18%

implied probability

YES 18¢NO 82¢

recent price

-6¢ over the window

-6¢

24h change

$65K

24h volume

$119K

total volume

Aug 30, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±26.3¢ swing band
9m ago
High volatility
±5.5¢ swing band
26m ago
High volatility
±4.2¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
8¢ → 16¢ (+8¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±20.5¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±9.2¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
8¢ → 28¢ (+20¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±12.6¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±21.2¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±5¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Song Yadong" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.