Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? — live odds

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59%

implied probability

YES 59¢NO 41¢

recent price

+59¢ over the window

+59¢

24h change

$8K

24h volume

$2.7M

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±35¢ swing band
5m ago
Odds swing
78¢ → 100¢ (+21.6¢ in 15 min)
5m ago
High volatility
±29.5¢ swing band
22m ago
High volatility
±24.7¢ swing band
37m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 48¢ (-51.6¢ in 15 min)
37m ago
High volatility
±14.8¢ swing band
52m ago
Odds swing
78¢ → 98¢ (+20¢ in 15 min)
52m ago
High volatility
±30.5¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
59¢ → 98¢ (+39¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±29.3¢ swing band
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.