Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? — live odds

Part of When will Bitcoin hit $150k?· see all 4 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?" is trading at a 3% implied probability, with YES at 3¢ and NO at 97¢. $2.8M has changed hands so far, $976 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

implied probability

YES 3¢NO 97¢

recent price

+79¢ over the window

+79¢

24h change

$976

24h volume

$2.8M

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±51.3¢ swing band
1m ago
Odds swing
79¢ → 100¢ (+20.9¢ in 15 min)
1m ago
High volatility
±40.6¢ swing band
16m ago
High volatility
±33.4¢ swing band
32m ago
High volatility
±22.7¢ swing band
47m ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 79¢ (+78.9¢ in 15 min)
47m ago
High volatility
±22.7¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 79¢ (+78.9¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±22.7¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 79¢ (+78.9¢ in 15 min)
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.