Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series? — final odds

Resolved NO · December 1, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?" resolved NO on December 1, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $915K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

—

24h change

$20K

24h volume

$915K

total volume

Dec 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

complete set arb
sum: 0.967 · edge: 0.023
15d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.969 · edge: 0.021
15d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.921 · edge: 0.069
16d ago
High volatility
±6¢ swing band
17d ago
Odds swing
13¢ → 32¢ (+18.4¢ in 15 min)
17d ago
High volatility
±11.9¢ swing band
17d ago
High volatility
±4.1¢ swing band
17d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Quick answers

How did "Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on December 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.