Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — live odds

Part of Ballon d'Or Winner 2026· see all 31 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢. $448K has changed hands so far, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.

0%

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

-19¢ over the window

-19¢

24h change

—

24h volume

$448K

total volume

Oct 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±6.3¢ swing band

    17d ago

  • High volatility

    ±9.7¢ swing band

    17d ago

  • High volatility

    ±6.1¢ swing band

    17d ago

  • High volatility

    ±23.9¢ swing band

    17d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

The market currently prices YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$448K has been traded in total, — of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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