Event odds table
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 — live odds
31 outcomes$32.2M traded$99K · 24hresolves by October 31, 2026
Live Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 odds: Harry Kane leads the field at 65% implied probability, ahead of Lamine Yamal (15%) and Kylian Mbappé (7%). All 31 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $32.2M traded ($99K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Harry Kane 65%
implied probability (65¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 31
1Harry Kane
65%65¢ · $10K 24h2Lamine Yamal
15%15¢ · $4K 24h3Kylian Mbappé
7%7¢ · $12K 24h4Rodri
6%6¢ · $27K 24h5Lionel Messi
3%3¢ · $2K 24h6Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%2¢ · $17K 24h7Fabian Ruiz
2%2¢ · $8K 24h8Ousmane Dembélé
1%1¢ · $7K 24h9Erling Haaland
0%0¢ · $3K 24h10Michael Olise
0%0¢ · $3K 24h11Jude Bellingham
0%0¢ · $3K 24h12Vitinha
0%0¢ · $3K 24h13Vinícius Júnior
0%0¢ · — 24h14Mohamed Salah
0%0¢ · — 24h15Pau Cubarsi
0%0¢ · $5 24h16Pedri
0%0¢ · — 24h17Declan Rice
0%0¢ · — 24h18Desire Doue
0%0¢ · — 24h19Achraf Hakimi
0%0¢ · — 24h20Julian Alvarez
0%0¢ · — 24h21Bruno Fernandes
0%0¢ · — 24h22Raphinha
0%0¢ · — 24h23Cole Palmer
0%0¢ · — 24h24Lautaro Martinez
0%0¢ · — 24h25Cristiano Ronaldo
0%0¢ · — 24h26Federico Valverde
0%0¢ · — 24h27Luis Diaz
0%0¢ · $5 24h28Dominik Szoboszlai
0%0¢ · — 24h29Bukayo Saka
0%0¢ · — 24h30Rodrygo
0%0¢ · — 24h31Enzo Fernandez
0%0¢ · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Ballon d'Or Winner 2026?
- The market currently favors Harry Kane at 65% implied probability (YES trading at 65¢).
- How much has been traded on Ballon d'Or Winner 2026?
- $32.2M has been traded across 31 outcome markets, $99K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026.
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