Event odds table
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 — live odds
19 outcomes$46.3M traded$631K · 24hresolves by October 31, 2026
Live Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 odds: Harry Kane leads the field at 65% implied probability, ahead of Lamine Yamal (28%) and Kylian Mbappé (3%). All 19 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $46.3M traded ($631K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Harry Kane 65%
implied probability (65¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 19
1Harry Kane
65%65¢ · $108K 24h2Lamine Yamal
28%28¢ · $73K 24h3Kylian Mbappé
3%3¢ · $69K 24h4Lionel Messi
3%3¢ · $163K 24h5Rodri
0%0¢ · $59K 24h6Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
0%0¢ · $31K 24h7Ousmane Dembélé
0%0¢ · $19K 24h8Michael Olise
0%0¢ · $30K 24h9Fabian Ruiz
0%0¢ · $36K 24h10Erling Haaland
0%0¢ · $42K 24h11Jude Bellingham
0%0¢ · $0 24h12Pau Cubarsi
0%0¢ · $1K 24h13Vinícius Júnior
0%0¢ · $0 24h14Declan Rice
0%0¢ · $0 24h15Vitinha
0%0¢ · $0 24h16Achraf Hakimi
0%0¢ · $0 24h17Bruno Fernandes
0%0¢ · $0 24h18Lautaro Martinez
0%0¢ · $0 24h19Luis Diaz
0%0¢ · $0 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Ballon d'Or Winner 2026?
- The market currently favors Harry Kane at 65% implied probability (YES trading at 65¢).
- How much has been traded on Ballon d'Or Winner 2026?
- $46.3M has been traded across 19 outcome markets, $631K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026.
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