Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? — live odds
1%
implied probability
recent price
-12¢ over the window
-12¢
24h change
$15K
24h volume
$73K
total volume
Jul 21, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?"?
The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by July 21, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$73K has been traded in total, $15K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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