Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — live odds

Part of F1 Constructors' Champion· see all 4 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?" is trading at a 99% implied probability, with YES at 99¢ and NO at 1¢. $1.3M has changed hands so far, $3K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by April 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.

99%

implied probability

YES 99¢NO 1¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$1.3M

total volume

Apr 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

complete set arb
sum: 0.967 · edge: 0.023
83d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.