Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? — live odds

Part of MLB: AL Rookie of the Year· see all 19 outcomes →📲 Open in app

implied probability

YES 7¢NO 93¢

recent price

+1¢ over the window

+1¢

24h change

$164

24h volume

$52K

total volume

Dec 19, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±18.6¢ swing band
28d ago
Odds swing
39¢ → 18¢ (-21¢ in 15 min)
28d ago
Odds swing
5¢ → 13¢ (+8¢ in 15 min)
28d ago
High volatility
±19.5¢ swing band
28d ago
High volatility
±19.7¢ swing band
28d ago
Odds swing
16¢ → 36¢ (+20¢ in 15 min)
28d ago
High volatility
±9.7¢ swing band
28d ago
Odds swing
37¢ → 16¢ (-21¢ in 15 min)
28d ago
High volatility
±12.6¢ swing band
28d ago
Odds swing
16¢ → 5¢ (-11¢ in 15 min)
28d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.