Will Tarik Skubal win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? — live odds

Part of MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner· see all 21 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Tarik Skubal win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?" is trading at a 27% implied probability, with YES at 27¢ and NO at 73¢. $15K has changed hands so far, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.

27%

implied probability

YES 27¢NO 73¢

recent price

-19¢ over the window

-19¢

24h change

—

24h volume

$15K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Odds swing
31¢ → 42¢ (+11.8¢ in 15 min)
84d ago
conviction signal
85d ago
High volatility
±5.1¢ swing band
85d ago
High volatility
±32.9¢ swing band
102d ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 50¢ (+47.4¢ in 15 min)
102d ago
High volatility
±37.3¢ swing band
102d ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 52¢ (+49.4¢ in 15 min)
102d ago
High volatility
±19.5¢ swing band
102d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.