Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? live odds

4%

implied probability

YES NO 96¢

recent price

+1¢ over the window

+1¢

24h change

$18K

24h volume

$177K

total volume

Jul 24, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±31.3¢ swing band

    30d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s July meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its July 24, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their July 24, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?"?

The market currently prices YES at 4¢ and NO at 96¢, an implied probability of 4% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by July 24, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$177K has been traded in total, $18K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app

Related Finance markets