Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? — live odds

Part of MLB: AL Manager of the Year· see all 6 outcomes →📲 Open in app

implied probability

YES 6¢NO 94¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$20

24h volume

$2K

total volume

Dec 19, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

complete set arb
sum: 0.923 · edge: 0.067
2h ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.914 · edge: 0.076
1d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.914 · edge: 0.076
1d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.925 · edge: 0.065
2d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.916 · edge: 0.074
3d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.961 · edge: 0.029
3d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.91 · edge: 0.08
3d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.916 · edge: 0.074
4d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.922 · edge: 0.068
4d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.92 · edge: 0.07
4d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 American League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.