Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) — final odds

This market has ended · August 12, 2026Final price 50¢ YES — the market gave this a 50% implied probability.

"Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)" resolved on August 12, 2026 at a final price of 50¢ YES — a 50% implied probability — after $29K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

50%

implied probability

YES 50¢NO 50¢

recent price

-61¢ over the window

-61¢

24h change

$29K

24h volume

$29K

total volume

Aug 12, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Volume spike
$10 traded — 26.1× the average
17h ago
High volatility
±18.6¢ swing band
17h ago
Odds swing
85¢ → 12¢ (-73¢ in 15 min)
17h ago
Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0183¢ normal
18h ago
High volatility
±17.6¢ swing band
18h ago
Odds swing
19¢ → 42¢ (+23¢ in 15 min)
18h ago
Volume spike
$24 traded — 45.7× the average
18h ago
High volatility
±33.2¢ swing band
18h ago
Odds swing
45¢ → 37¢ (-8¢ in 15 min)
18h ago
Volume spike
$9 traded — 17.3× the average
18h ago

How this market resolves

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 11 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Las Vegas Aces" if the Las Vegas Aces win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Mystics". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Washington Mystics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Quick answers

How did "Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)" resolve?

This market ended on August 12, 2026 with a final traded price of 50¢ YES (50% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 50¢ — an implied probability of 50%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.