Which outcome is favored for Bitcoin above ___ on August 31??

This market is a threshold ladder rather than a single-winner race; its 50/50 line sits at 78 (30% implied). All 11 thresholds are ranked in the table below.

How much has been traded on Bitcoin above ___ on August 31??

$527K has been traded across 11 outcome markets, $374K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 31, 2026.

Event odds table

Bitcoin above ___ on August 31? — live odds

11 outcomes$527K traded$374K · 24hresolves by August 31, 2026

Live Bitcoin above ___ on August 31? odds: the market's 50/50 line sits at 78 (30% implied), with all 11 thresholds ranked below by probability and $527K traded, resolving by August 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's 50/50 line

78 30%

implied — the threshold the market prices closest to even, across 11 levels

Full market details →

170

100%100¢ · $24K 24h 272

100%100¢ · $36K 24h 374

98%98¢ · $52K 24h 476

79%79¢ · $75K 24h 578

30%30¢ · $26K 24h 680

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Bitcoin above ___ on August 31??: This market is a threshold ladder rather than a single-winner race; its 50/50 line sits at 78 (30% implied). All 11 thresholds are ranked in the table below.
How much has been traded on Bitcoin above ___ on August 31??: $527K has been traded across 11 outcome markets, $374K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 31, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

PolyWatch watches all 11 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.