Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on August 31? — live odds

Part of Bitcoin above ___ on August 31?· see all 11 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on August 31?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at 0¢ and NO at 100¢. $46K has changed hands so far, $44K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 31, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

+21¢ over the window

+21¢

24h change

$44K

24h volume

$46K

total volume

Aug 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±15.6¢ swing band
1m ago
Odds swing
69¢ → 78¢ (+9.1¢ in 15 min)
1m ago
High volatility
±31.4¢ swing band
16m ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 67¢ (+66.9¢ in 15 min)
16m ago
High volatility
±23.5¢ swing band
32m ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 49¢ (+48.9¢ in 15 min)
32m ago
Volume spike
$6,597 traded — 229× the average
57m ago
Volume spike
$95 traded — 3.3× the average
1h ago
Volume spike
$1,949 traded — 67.7× the average
2h ago
High volatility
±39.2¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.