Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 31? — live odds

Part of Bitcoin above ___ on August 31?· see all 11 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 31?" is trading at a 94% implied probability, with YES at 94¢ and NO at 6¢. $92K has changed hands so far, $81K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 31, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

94%

implied probability

YES 94¢NO 6¢

recent price

-54¢ over the window

-54¢

24h change

$81K

24h volume

$92K

total volume

Aug 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Volume spike
$400 traded — 7.8× the average
18m ago
High volatility
±7¢ swing band
54m ago
Odds swing
67¢ → 85¢ (+18.6¢ in 15 min)
54m ago
High volatility
±18.3¢ swing band
1h ago
Volume spike
$480 traded — 9.6× the average
2h ago
Volume spike
$610 traded — 12.3× the average
2h ago
Volume spike
$258 traded — 5.9× the average
2h ago
Volume spike
$1,556 traded — 35.4× the average
2h ago
Volume spike
$200 traded — 5.6× the average
3h ago
Volume spike
$3,096 traded — 89.6× the average
3h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.