Which outcome is favored for Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch??

The market currently favors 150M at 58% implied probability (YES trading at 57¢).

How much has been traded on Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch??

$3.7M has been traded across 7 outcome markets, $1K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Event odds table

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? — live odds

7 outcomes$3.7M traded$1K · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027

Live Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? odds: 150M leads the field at 58% implied probability, ahead of 300M (43%) and 500M (16%). All 7 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $3.7M traded ($1K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

150M 58%

implied probability (57¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 7

Full market details →

1150M

58%57¢ · $150 24h 2300M

43%43¢ · $630 24h 3500M

16%16¢ · $245 24h 4800M

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch??: The market currently favors 150M at 58% implied probability (YES trading at 57¢).
How much has been traded on Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch??: $3.7M has been traded across 7 outcome markets, $1K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Get alerts on every outcome

PolyWatch watches all 7 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.