Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? — live odds

Part of Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?· see all 7 outcomes →📲 Open in app

41%

implied probability

YES 41¢NO 59¢

recent price

-35¢ over the window

-35¢

24h change

$1K

24h volume

$449K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±68.2¢ swing band
12m ago
Odds swing
41¢ → 2¢ (-39¢ in 15 min)
12m ago
High volatility
±53.4¢ swing band
28m ago
Odds swing
80¢ → 2¢ (-78¢ in 15 min)
28m ago
High volatility
±42.2¢ swing band
44m ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 79¢ (+77¢ in 15 min)
44m ago
High volatility
±49.6¢ swing band
59m ago
Odds swing
80¢ → 98¢ (+18¢ in 15 min)
59m ago
High volatility
±53.8¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
97¢ → 2¢ (-95¢ in 15 min)
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".