Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? — live odds

Part of Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?· see all 7 outcomes →📲 Open in app

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

-67¢ over the window

-67¢

24h change

$15

24h volume

$108K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±39.2¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 2¢ (-97.5¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±27.4¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
58¢ → 2¢ (-55.7¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±36.5¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 89¢ (+86¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±46¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
68¢ → 100¢ (+31.5¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±27.7¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 100¢ (+96.5¢ in 15 min)
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".