Which outcome is favored for Fed Decision in October??

The market currently favors re be no change in Fed interest rate at 68% implied probability (YES trading at 68¢).

How much has been traded on Fed Decision in October??

$1.3M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $166K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 28, 2026.

Event odds table

Fed Decision in October? — live odds

5 outcomes$1.3M traded$166K · 24hresolves by October 28, 2026

Live Fed Decision in October? odds: re be no change in Fed interest rate leads the field at 68% implied probability, ahead of Fed increase interest rates by 25 bp (28%) and Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bp (5%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.3M traded ($166K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 28, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

re be no change in Fed interest rate 68%

implied probability (68¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5

Full market details →

1re be no change in Fed interest rate

68%68¢ · $22K 24h 2Fed increase interest rates by 25 bp

28%28¢ · $28K 24h 3Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bp

5%5¢ · $77K 24h 4Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bp

1%1¢ · $14K 24h 5Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bp

1%1¢ · $25K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Fed Decision in October??: The market currently favors re be no change in Fed interest rate at 68% implied probability (YES trading at 68¢).
How much has been traded on Fed Decision in October??: $1.3M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $166K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 28, 2026.

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