Which outcome is favored for Fed Decision in September??

The market currently favors Fed increase interest rates by 25 bp at 52% implied probability (YES trading at 52¢).

How much has been traded on Fed Decision in September??

$93.7M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $8.8M of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by September 16, 2026.

Event odds table

Fed Decision in September? — live odds

5 outcomes$93.7M traded$8.8M · 24hresolves by September 16, 2026

Live Fed Decision in September? odds: Fed increase interest rates by 25 bp leads the field at 52% implied probability, ahead of re be no change in Fed interest rate (49%) and Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bp (1%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $93.7M traded ($8.8M in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by September 16, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

Fed increase interest rates by 25 bp 52%

implied probability (52¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5

Full market details →

1Fed increase interest rates by 25 bp

52%52¢ · $732K 24h 2re be no change in Fed interest rate

49%49¢ · $1.4M 24h 3Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bp

1%1¢ · $560K 24h 4Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bp

1%1¢ · $4.8M 24h 5Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bp

0%0¢ · $1.3M 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Fed Decision in September??: The market currently favors Fed increase interest rates by 25 bp at 52% implied probability (YES trading at 52¢).
How much has been traded on Fed Decision in September??: $93.7M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $8.8M of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by September 16, 2026.

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