Event odds table
GPT-6 released by…? — live odds
5 outcomes$294K traded$13K · 24hresolves by August 7, 2026
The market's call
December 31 91%
implied probability (91¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5
1December 31
91%91¢ · $3K 24h2August 31
22%22¢ · $3K 24h3August 21
7%7¢ · $510 24h4August 14
3%3¢ · $4K 24h5August 7
1%1¢ · $2K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for GPT-6 released by…??
- The market currently favors "Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?" at 91% implied probability (YES trading at 91¢).
- How much has been traded on GPT-6 released by…??
- $294K has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $13K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 7, 2026.
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