Event odds table

Highest temperature in Madrid on September 5? — live odds
9 outcomes$39K traded$31K · 24hresolves by September 5, 2026
Live Highest temperature in Madrid on September 5? odds: all 9 outcomes ranked by the implied probability real money is pricing, with $39K traded and resolution scheduled by September 5, 2026. PolyWatch updates every price every few minutes.
The market's call
42°C 0%
implied probability (0¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 9
142°C
0%0¢ · $46 24h238°C
—— · $8K 24h336°C
—— · $6K 24h437°C
—— · $5K 24h539°C
—— · $4K 24h635°C
—— · $3K 24h733°C or below
—— · $2K 24h834°C
—— · $2K 24h940°C
—— · $1K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Highest temperature in Madrid on September 5??
- The market currently favors 42°C at 0% implied probability (YES trading at 0¢).
- How much has been traded on Highest temperature in Madrid on September 5??
- $39K has been traded across 9 outcome markets, $31K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by September 5, 2026.