Event odds table
Iran leadership change by...? — live odds
4 outcomes$4.0M traded$115K · 24hresolves by July 31, 2026
1June 30, 2027
33%33¢ · $5K 24h2December 31
24%24¢ · $9K 24h3September 30
13%13¢ · $7K 24h4July 31
4%4¢ · $95K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Iran leadership change by...??
- The market currently favors "Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?" at 33% implied probability (YES trading at 33¢).
- How much has been traded on Iran leadership change by...??
- $4.0M has been traded across 4 outcome markets, $115K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by July 31, 2026.
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