Which outcome is favored for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by...??

The market currently favors 30 at 5% implied probability (YES trading at 5¢).

How much has been traded on Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by...??

$1.2M has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $193K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 15, 2026.

Event odds table

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by...? — live odds

3 outcomes$1.2M traded$193K · 24hresolves by November 15, 2026

Live Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by...? odds: 30 leads the field at 5% implied probability, ahead of 21 (2%) and 14 (1%). All 3 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.2M traded ($193K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 15, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

30 5%

implied probability (5¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 3

Full market details →

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by...??: The market currently favors 30 at 5% implied probability (YES trading at 5¢).
How much has been traded on Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by...??: $1.2M has been traded across 3 outcome markets, $193K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 15, 2026.

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