Event odds table
Satoshi's identity be proven by...? — live odds
2 outcomes$939K traded$15 · 24hresolves by July 31, 2026
The market's call
December 4%
implied probability (4¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Satoshi's identity be proven by...??
- The market currently favors "Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?" at 4% implied probability (YES trading at 4¢).
- How much has been traded on Satoshi's identity be proven by...??
- $939K has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $15 of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by July 31, 2026.
Get alerts on every outcome
PolyWatch watches all 2 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.
