Event odds table
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...? — live odds
5 outcomes$510K traded$6K · 24hresolves by October 1, 2026
Live Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...? odds: December 31 leads the field at 19% implied probability, ahead of September 30 (5%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $510K traded ($6K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by October 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
December 31 19%
implied probability (19¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5
1December 31
19%19¢ · $329 24h2September 30
5%5¢ · $6K 24h3December 31, 2027
—— · — 24h4June 30, 2027
—— · — 24h5January 31, 2027
—— · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...??
- The market currently favors December 31 at 19% implied probability (YES trading at 19¢).
- How much has been traded on Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...??
- $510K has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $6K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by October 1, 2026.
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