Event odds table

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? — live odds

71 outcomes$1.3M traded$23K · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027

Live Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? odds: the market's 50/50 line sits at Ted Cruz announce a p (61% implied), with all 71 thresholds ranked below by probability and $1.3M traded, resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's 50/50 line

Ted Cruz announce a p 61%

implied — the threshold the market prices closest to even, across 71 levels

Full market details →
1Phil Murphy announce a P100%100¢ · — 24h2Andy Beshear announce a P99%99¢ · $80 24h3Rahm Emanuel announce a P99%99¢ · $37 24h4George Clooney announce a P94%94¢ · — 24h5Bernie Sanders announce a P93%93¢ · $251 24h6Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a p90%90¢ · $381 24h7Chelsea Clinton announce a P90%90¢ · $72 24h8Vivek Ramaswamy announce a p86%86¢ · $160 24h9Kristi Noem announce a p85%85¢ · — 24h10Steve Bannon announce a p82%82¢ · $1K 24h11Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a p80%80¢ · — 24h12Rand Paul announce a p77%77¢ · — 24h13Gina Raimondo announce a P75%75¢ · — 24h14Elon Musk announce a p71%71¢ · — 24h15Josh Hawley announce a p71%71¢ · $201 24h16Pete Buttigieg announce a P63%63¢ · — 24h17Mark Cuban announce a P63%63¢ · — 24h18Gretchen Whitmer announce a P63%63¢ · — 24h19Ted Cruz announce a p61%61¢ · $5 24h20Beto O’Rourke announce a P61%61¢ · — 24h21Ron DeSantis announce a p17%17¢ · $364 24h22Candace Owens announce a p17%17¢ · — 24h23Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a P17%17¢ · — 24h24Stephen A. Smith announce a P15%15¢ · — 24h25Mark Kelly announce a P13%13¢ · — 24h26Brian Kemp announce a p13%13¢ · — 24h27Raphael Warnock announce a P12%12¢ · $60 24h28Jared Polis announce a P11%11¢ · — 24h29Matt Gaetz announce a p11%11¢ · — 24h30Josh Shapiro announce a P10%10¢ · $259 24h31J.B. Pritzker announce a P10%10¢ · $586 24h32Glenn Youngkin announce a p9%9¢ · — 24h33Cory Booker announce a P9%9¢ · $540 24h34Tim Walz announce a P9%9¢ · — 24h35Greg Abbott announce a p9%9¢ · $138 24h36Gavin Newsom announce a P9%9¢ · $3K 24h37Don Lemon announce a p8%8¢ · — 24h38Marco Rubio announce a p6%6¢ · — 24h39Jon Stewart announce a P5%5¢ · $200 24h40Hunter Biden announce a P5%5¢ · $86 24h41Hillary Clinton announce a P5%5¢ · — 24h42Erika Kirk announce a p5%5¢ · $100 24h43Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a P5%5¢ · $688 24h44John Thune announce a p4%4¢ · — 24h45J.D. Vance announce a p4%4¢ · — 24h46Nikki Haley announce a p4%4¢ · $8 24h47Elise Stefanik announce a p4%4¢ · — 24h48Kamala Harris announce a P4%3¢ · $1K 24h49Ivanka Trump announce a p3%3¢ · $54 24h50Jon Ossoff announce a P3%3¢ · $8K 24h51Oprah Winfrey announce a P3%3¢ · $16 24h52Donald Trump Jr. announce a p3%3¢ · — 24h53Donald Trump announce a p3%3¢ · $32 24h54Liz Cheney announce a P3%3¢ · — 24h55Andrew Yang announce a P2%2¢ · — 24h56MrBeast announce a P2%2¢ · — 24h57Zohran Mamdani announce a P2%2¢ · $4K 24h58Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a p2%2¢ · — 24h59Wes Moore announce a P2%2¢ · — 24h60Kim Kardashian announce a P2%2¢ · — 24h61Tucker Carlson announce a p2%2¢ · — 24h62Tom Brady announce a p2%2¢ · — 24h63Barack Obama announce a P2%2¢ · $224 24h64Byron Donalds announce a p2%2¢ · — 24h65LeBron James announce a P2%2¢ · — 24h66Tulsi Gabbard announce a p2%2¢ · $151 24h67Roy Cooper announce a P1%1¢ · — 24h68Katie Britt announce a p1%1¢ · — 24h69John Fetterman announce a P1%1¢ · — 24h70Michelle Obama announce a P1%1¢ · $548 24h71Mike Pence announce a p1%1¢ · — 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Who will announce Presidential run before 2027??
This market is a threshold ladder rather than a single-winner race; its 50/50 line sits at Ted Cruz announce a p (61% implied). All 71 thresholds are ranked in the table below.
How much has been traded on Who will announce Presidential run before 2027??
$1.3M has been traded across 71 outcome markets, $23K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?
The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

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