Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027? — live odds

Part of Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?· see all 71 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?" is trading at a 11% implied probability, with YES at 11¢ and NO at 89¢. $6K has changed hands so far, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this politics market in real time.

11%

implied probability

YES 11¢NO 89¢

recent price

-93¢ over the window

-93¢

24h change

—

24h volume

$6K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±11.2¢ swing band
139d ago
Odds swing
37¢ → 95¢ (+58¢ in 15 min)
139d ago
High volatility
±8¢ swing band
139d ago
Odds swing
37¢ → 95¢ (+58¢ in 15 min)
139d ago
High volatility
±13¢ swing band
139d ago
High volatility
±14.5¢ swing band
139d ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 37¢ (+34¢ in 15 min)
139d ago
High volatility
±16.4¢ swing band
139d ago
Odds swing
77¢ → 37¢ (-40¢ in 15 min)
139d ago
High volatility
±32.9¢ swing band
139d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.